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WILL COMMODITIES BOOM LAST?
As oil and gold prices hit record highs, and grains stay up, speculators rush in.
from the March 7, 2008 edition
Reporter Mark Trumbull discusses the recent spike in the prices of commodities such as oil, metal, and grains.
http://www.csmonitor.com/2008/0307/p01s04-usec.html?page=1
A bull market in commodities has become the big way for investors to make money this year, but it could also be just another price bubble that will build up only to deflate. 
What's clear is that trading in raw goods – things measured in bushels, barrels, and ounces – is a strategy that's working for investors, at a time when gains in traditional stocks and bonds have grown scarce. 
Oil prices surged this week above $105 per barrel, an all-time high even after adjusting for inflation. Gold neared an unheard-of $1,000 per ounce. A huge run-up in grain prices is enough to make bakers rethink their traditional definition of a dozen. 
Are prices for these items outrunning their fundamental value?
In each of these cases, investors can cite solid reasons for the gains. These include tight supplies of energy, the way that rising concern about inflation ignites demand for gold, and tough weather for many of the world's farmers. But some analysts also say that in each case, speculation and a big money shift by investors has been an important factor as well. 
"In any of these [booms] there's always a kernel of truth to them – maybe a whole ear," says economist Gary Shilling, who is currently visiting Kansas wheat country. "What you do know is that when the speculation starts, it does reinforce itself." 
Many analysts don't see the commodity boom as having already entered a bubble phase. But Shilling, who runs a research firm in Springfield, N.J., is in the camp that sees the run-up as inconsistent with signs that the economy is cooling worldwide, led by what he says is already a recession in the United States.

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2008-11-24 回答
建党节“ , ”重阳节“ , ”光棍节商品市场的繁荣会持续多久? 
随着石油和黄金价格创历史新高,并逗留不超过谷物,投机者急于英寸 
从2008年3月7日版 
记者马克特朗布尔讨论了近期油价上涨的商品价格,如石油,金属和谷物。 
http://www.csmonitor.com/2008/0307/p01s04-usec.html?page=1 
牛市的商品已成为大的投资者赚钱,今年,但也可能只是另一个价格泡沫,将建立只压缩。 
什么是清楚的是,在原材料贸易货物-东西衡量蒲式耳,桶,盎司-是一个战略,工作的投资者,当时涨幅在传统的股票和债券的增长稀少。 
油价飙升上述这个星期105美元一桶,是历史最高纪录甚至调整后的通货膨胀。金价逼近一个前所未闻的1000美元每盎司。巨大的运行在粮食价格是足以让面包师重新考虑自己的传统定义,一打。 
价格是这些项目的滥用他们的基本价值? 
在每一种情况下,投资者可以列举的理由坚实的成果。这些措施包括严格的能源供应的方式,增加对通货膨胀的担忧点燃对黄金的需求,和坚韧的天气,世界上许多农民。但一些分析家也指出,在每一种情况下,投机资金大的投资者转向了一个重要的因素,以及。 
“在上述任何[震]总有一个核心的真理向他们-也许整个耳朵说, ”经济学家加里先令,谁正在访问堪萨斯州小麦的国家。 “你不知道的是,当投机活动启动时,它本身并不巩固。 ” 
许多分析家认为没有作为商品热潮已经进入了泡沫阶段。但是,先令,谁经营一家研究公司在斯普林菲尔德,新泽西州,是在营地看到了助跑不符合的迹象表明经济正在降温世界范围内,由他所说的话已经是一个美国的衰退。
2008-11-24 回答
商品市场的繁荣会持续多久? 
随着石油和黄金价格创历史新高,并逗留不超过谷物,投机者急于英寸 
从2008年3月7日版 
记者马克特朗布尔讨论了近期油价上涨的商品价格,如石油,金属和谷物。 
http://www.csmonitor.com/2008/0307/p01s04-usec.html?page=1 
牛市的商品已成为大的投资者赚钱,今年,但也可能只是另一个价格泡沫,将建立只压缩。 
什么是清楚的是,在原材料贸易货物-东西衡量蒲式耳,桶,盎司-是一个战略,工作的投资者,当时涨幅在传统的股票和债券的增长稀少。 
油价飙升上述这个星期105美元一桶,是历史最高纪录甚至调整后的通货膨胀。金价逼近一个前所未闻的1000美元每盎司。巨大的运行在粮食价格是足以让面包师重新考虑自己的传统定义,一打。 
价格是这些项目的滥用他们的基本价值? 
在每一种情况下,投资者可以列举的理由坚实的成果。这些措施包括严格的能源供应的方式,增加对通货膨胀的担忧点燃对黄金的需求,和坚韧的天气,世界上许多农民。但一些分析家也指出,在每一种情况下,投机资金大的投资者转向了一个重要的因素,以及。 
“在上述任何[震]总有一个核心的真理向他们-也许整个耳朵说, ”经济学家加里先令,谁正在访问堪萨斯州小麦的国家。 “你不知道的是,当投机活动启动时,它本身并不巩固。 ” 
许多分析家认为没有作为商品热潮已经进入了泡沫阶段。但是,先令,谁经营一家研究公司在斯普林菲尔德,新泽西州,是在营地看到了助跑不符合的迹象表明经济正在降温世界范围内,由他所说的话已经是一个美国的衰退。